Apr 16 2009
Researchers Forecast Substantial Increase in AMD by 2050
Researchers predict age-related macular degeneration (AMD) will increase substantially by 2050, as the U.S. population ages, but the use of new and existing therapies can mitigate the effects of the condition.
A significant preventative therapy named in this study is the use of antioxidant vitamins to slow the progression of AMD from early to late stages. Other treatments reviewed include laser and photodynamic therapies and anti-VEGF injections.
Scientists from the Research Triangle Institute International in North Carolina simulated cases of early AMD, choroidal neovascularization (CNV), geographic atrophy (GA), and AMD-attributable visual impairment and blindness with 5 universal treatment scenarios:
- no treatment;
- focal laser and photodynamic therapy (PDT) for CNV;
- vitamin prophylaxis at early-AMD incidence with focal laser/PDT for CNV;
- no vitamin prophylaxis followed by focal laser treatment for extra and juxtafoveal CNV and anti-vascular endothelial growth factor treatment; and
- vitamin prophylaxis at early-AMD incidence followed by CNV treatment, as in scenario 4.
From the results of this analysis, the researchers predicted that cases of early AMD will increase from 9.1 million in 2010 to 17.8 million in 2050 across all scenarios, but that existing medical therapies have the potential to reduce the visual impairment and blindness attributable to AMD by as much as 35 percent, translating to 565,000 fewer cases of visual impairment and blindness in 2050.
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SOURCE: Forecasting age-related macular degeneration through the year 2050: the potential impact of new treatments, Rein, et al, Arch Ophthalmol. 2009 Apr;127(4):533-40.
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